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Keep you heads up – but think
Dear Valued Readers
NOTE: IM STILL VERY OPTIMISTIC: Keep the entrepreneurial spirit HIGH – its the perfect time to build and start fantastic companies – all the wannabes are gone – and drive can take you anywhere in this depressive finacial climate!!
TO MY POINT: Im not at all into stocks and not an expert (in anything) – but since Im spending most of my time with people at the higher end of the financial latter – I have decided to post the key points I have deciede to believe in – with a in this financial tsunami.
ON THE NEGATIVE
1) The national bailout plans seems to be very good in short term (and thank you to USA for bringing financial socialism back – its great fun to meet with all my ultra literalistic friends) – but be aware that its NOT necessarily a safe solution. It could easily be like peeing in the pants to get warm – since its also subsidizing VERY BAD BANKS that should have been shut down.
(The problem is that you cant see the good from the bad when you legislate troughout a whole sector).
2) Be aware of insane interest rates – since the bonds (behind mortgage loans) around the world that are about to be reissued – probably will have no (or very few) buyers – the interest of these can very likely explode.
*A mortgage loan is a loan secured by real property through the use of a mortgage
3) Be carefull with Bank stocks – I have seen a very clear pattern here in small Denmark – the banks are only calling the midsize trouble clients who have REAL VALUE in their arrangements (say 50% or more in real value) since they:
- a – get real money out of it
- b – take only a limited hit on they ballance = yearly reports = their stock.
- c – they only look moderately stupid
The banks try to do nothing (or areextremly carefull) – or even slightly hide the midsize clients in deep trouble with no real value (lets say a smalltime realesate developer with 2-3 buldings and 100% loan finansing) – since
- a – get NO money out of it
- b – take 100% hit on their ballance = yearly reports = stock.
- c – only ULTIMATELY stupid – and probobly breach the original idea of being a bank.
ON THE POSSITIVE SIDE
Buy compnaies dept (bonds) – they are 50% down in price and pay a fantastic interest – but remember its risky!!
The ba
Democrazy or Free market … until it breakes
Quote: “You not naive enough to believe we live in a democracy – buddy – its the free market” – the whole world have been believing in this bullshit from an old movie…. wow.
If someone had just shown this to Greenspan – he might not have been Greenspank now… But very straight and a real person (just shows that controle is beyond hard)- Quote: “I did not really get it”…see interview
PS. the real gaga was around last week when lost of big funds wnated the markets closed for 1-2 weeks – until stability would be around – but hey – no one asked for that after yesterdays US stocks 11% up…
Crisis – Yes – but now is the time to build…
Someone (maybe me) did this very simple to inspire and kick start your inner entrepreneur… Everyone and his dog is talking about recession – and NEARLY EVERYONE is HIT. But lets turn it upside down – this is the period of time where opportunity is MAX.
WARNING: its simple – not original / copy / paste / emotional.
Robots…
Linus asked me “what can Robots do – are they real…” Hard question! Well – they can do nearly anything you can tech them – but cleaning your room might be difficult – but on the other hand they can play soccer… And they are used for industry – and for nerds to play with. A bit scary this movie – but also a proof of the trust we (engineres) have in these machines… And there is a fine line between real and dream with robots - watch this
Super Cool Stuff
I seldomly get really impressed with websites – but here is an eyeopener to USERINTERFACE+CONTENT+MAGIC – all in one. (You have to update Flash – but its SO WORTH IT). And OK – I admit it – Im a big Oasis fan.
Via TP from HelloGroup
ADC Berlin
I was speaking at the Art Directors Club in Berlin last week – and I got really passionate after a Speakers Dinner at a fantastic club the night before. These guys are all – smart – clever – good at thinking creatively and really (most of them) born to make change. (And they where mostly very cool – but – well – 30% of them not really proud of their work). So I gave this pretty hard – for germany – short pre presentation.
My bonus – was to meet Ralf Schmerberg – the guy behind this amassing Nike Video and the fantastic Dropping Knowledge (enjoy the start video). Im really moved by his way of looking at things – and the impact his visuals have…
New Media Days – Old Media Audience
In Denmark – we have a 100% tax sponsored national radio, tv and www.dr.dk – it’s second to none the most amasing television and radio and web you can find. Journalist are top dogs and the quality of the entertainment- the produce is killer. On top of that the kids content is propably the best in the world (but only in Danish). This institution (Danish Radio) also run a yearly event called http://www.newmediadays.dk/
“New Media Days is where Scandinavian professionals from both traditional and new media converge to create the media of tomorrow. The event takes place in Copenhagen on October 8-9 2008 and will bring together more than 800 participants from all parts of the media world.”
- a pretty good event (you can say that its Reboot 24 months delayed – but Reboot is always extremely forefront – so that OK). What really really makes me wonder – is the fact that they yesterday gave the Special Price of Hornor to Lisbeth Knudsen – head of Berlingske Media – stating that she’s has done something special over the last years for the industry – reality is that they have done some beautifull websites and some pretty interesting restructuring but NOTHING SPECIAL consindering that they are a media company. That so fucked up. They could have given Lisbeth the price for being one of the most intelligent Danes – but the audience really showed how little they have interest in New Media by this choice – straight crazy.
DBA should ofcourse have had the price (transforming a paper to the most profitable Danish online company – but they dont do conferences – they work hard) or
Mygdal (one man army innovating for real – and challenging the whole world with his persistant brilliant mind)- or
Euroinvestor.dk (very profitable) or
Freeway should have been reelected – or
Mediaprovider.dk‘s founders – or
Ekstra Bladet (Soren is good and smart – and get insane CPM for showing naked Girls (side 9 is about 33% of all trafic) ;)
And I dont even want to comment on the fact that DR’s own website Bonanze won a price as well…
Meeting With Sir Branson
Last week I had the incredible fortune to meet with Richard Branson – after he invited me into his latest project. I cant say much – its about enviroment. What I can say though – is that the mann and his team is even more impressive then he apears when you read about his power and balls.
To be continued.
There is only ONE WARREN BUFFET

Imagine what a brand can do – and then think again. First Mr. Buffet took Goldman Sachs in an insane deal – and got shares at a silly price including interest + and unheard of option package. And now he took GE shares preferred – just because EVERYONE NEEDS his name. That’s BRAND VALUE!!
The only “problem” for him – is that if he keeps his growthrate – he will own all cash in the world in 30years ;)
And i have to bring my favrite quote again:
“Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.”







